Stefan, jag kanske svarar mer på dina frågor om Hillary Clinton senare.
Läs den här artikeln från New York Magazine tills vidare! Den handlar om tio saker hennes kampanjstab kommer att ligga sömnlösa och gräma sig över.
What Is the What If? Ten thought experiments exploring the possibility of Hillary Clinton, nominee
Uppdatering: Nu har jag langat ner några svar, inget särskilt genomtänkt eller djupsinnigt, dock.
/Gunilla
12 May 2008
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Goafton lr gomorron.
ReplyDeleteHar inte hunnit läsa artikeln ännu, men skall göra det. Har precis kommit hem och tryckt i mig en brie och salami sandwich och ett par tunnbrödrullar med hemgjord liversausage och bacon, allt tillsammans med några (stora!) glas rött. Jeesus så gott när man är akut hungrig.
Nåja,läste Slates kommentar:
"Slate's Delegate CalculatorObama now looking at 11-delegate pickup from Tuesday."
"With most of the delegates from Tuesday's primaries in North Carolina and Indiana counted, the damage for Hillary Clinton has shrunk. On Wednesday, it appeared that Barack Obama was on track for a 15-delegate pickup, with a 17-delegate lead in North Carolina and a two-delegate deficit in Indiana. Now, it appears his 14-point victory in North Carolina will award him 65 pledged delegates to Hillary Clinton's 50 while Clinton's two-point win in Indiana will give her 38 pledged delegates to Obama's 34. That's a net gain of 11.
With this adjustment, Obama now leads Clinton by 165 pledged delegates. This correction in Clinton's favor isn't too surprising. As we've noted before, the district-by-district numbers tend to err in favor of the loser compared to estimates based on the popular vote."
Vad som vore intressant att prata om är om den amerikanska allmänheten generellt sett är lika negativt inställda till "etablissemanget" typ Clintons som jag själv är. Jag har alltid gillat de obefläckade, det nya blod som kommer in med de oerfarna. Jag vidgör görna att jag tänker så, men hur tänker amrisarna. Gillar de en vinnande outsider? Jag tror det, men ...
/Stefan
Självklart gillar amerikanarna outsiders! En stor portion av Bill Clintons och George Bushs framgångar var att de lyckades positionera sig som sådana, och John McCains problem kommer till stor del att vara att han knappast kan kalla sig det. Det finns ett stort förakt i USA mot "Washington". Jämför med vad många svenskar tänker om "Bryssel".
ReplyDeleteDen här delen av artikeln var intressant:
ReplyDelete"9. What if Clinton had gone magnanimous on Obama and the Reverend Wright?
The GOP strategist Alex Castellanos offers an intriguing theory about how Hillary might have reacted differently, and more effectively, to the issue that threatened to swallow Obama. “After the Reverend Wright controversy, Obama was suffering the worst press month of his campaign,” he says. “Hillary had a choice. She could have gotten bigger, more presidential, less political; she could have risen to defend Obama, saying, ‘This is outrageous and has no place in politics.’ Instead, she chose to become smaller, more political, less presidential. She diminished the value of the attacks on him by making them hers. Her instincts betrayed her. What if she had chosen to soar above a weakened Obama? That was her moment. And I believe she missed her last great opportunity to win this race.”
//Stefan